Surviving a recession: the best funds to invest in (2024)

The rapid and severe impact of the coronavirus pandemic and the restrictive measures to manage it have severely depressed the global economy. The baseline forecast from the World Bank predicts the greatest global recession in eight decades, with a 5.2 per cent decline in the global gross domestic product (GDP) in 2020 when the pandemic started.

Investment funds were not spared from the damage brought by the global health crisis. These vehicles play a significant role in the global financing of the real economy and other financial institutions. Fortunately, investment funds survived the market upheaval that began in March 2020.

Still, investors are still constantly concerned about declining stock prices and how they may affect their portfolios whenthe economy approaches a recession. Out of concern for impending drops and escalating losses, investors flee stock funds in search of safety by turning to bond funds.

In this blog, we will discuss the types of investment funds that are traditionally more resistant during challenging economic conditions like recessions.

Surviving a recession: the best funds to invest in (1)

Types of funds that will do well during a recession

No company or industry is totally immune to an economic crisis, thus there is no such thing as a “recession-proof” investment fund. Additionally, markets can be unpredictable at any time, but certain stocks, funds and strategies may be able to assist your portfolio to perform better during a recession.

If you are looking for investments that can withstand a downturn to lower risk in your portfolio, here are the types of funds that will do well in a recession:

Hedge Funds

Hedge funds are a good choice if you desire higher risk with a chance of higher returns. Hedge funds don’t simply focus on booming bull markets; they try to generate money in all markets. They combine various advanced strategies like arbitrage, hedging, futures and options contracts, shorting particular equities and other complex techniques.

However, before you invest any money in hedge funds, ensure that you understand how they operate as well as the associated dangers. Beware that hedge funds have high expense ratios due to their active management.

Low-Volatility Funds

Risk is measured by volatility, and funds with low volatility are created to fluctuate less in response to market conditions. They frequently have lesser returns, but that’s what you get when you go for low risk.

These funds often search an index or market for the least volatile funds before investing. This means that they include a wide variety of stock types, including companies in utilities and the healthcare industry.

Additionally, some low-volatility funds look for equities that have little correlation to one another. As a result, the fund becomes more varied and has more exposure to other industries.

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)

A collection of investments like stocks or bonds is referred to as an exchange-traded fund or ETF. ETFs enable you to make many simultaneous investments in assets, and they frequently have cheaper costs than other types of funds.

Buying individual stocks can be a better choice if you focus on generating above-average returns. Given the high likelihood of their recovery from any crisis, ETFs are one of the safest investments during a recession.

A fund is frequently safer to own than a single stock because of the benefits of diversification that ETFs offer, including lower risk and less volatility.

Index Funds

A specific market index is tracked or replicated by an index fund, a type of mutual fund. You may develop a diverse portfolio with this form of investing that is generally interactive and generates respectable returns.

Because market fluctuations are typically less volatile across an index than they are for individual equities, index funds can help investors balance the risk in their portfolios.

Dividend Funds

Despite the common misconception that the stock market is a source of growth, there are other ways to profit from the market than share price increase. For instance, mutual funds that prioritise dividends might offer solid returns with lower volatility than funds that only focus on growth.

Many investors look to dividend stocks as a reliable source of market gains when inflation is high. Furthermore, the fact that dividend-stock funds have survived most recessionary times strengthens the argument that they can be a good addition to a portfolio.

Bond Funds

Bonds, particularly government bonds, are viewed as safe haven securities with a very low default risk. With a minimal necessary commitment, bond funds offer investors immediate diversification. Bonds are known for being low-risk and low-return investments that help balance a high-risk portfolio.

Money Market Funds

Money market funds can protect your assets during a recession, but only as a temporary fix and not for long-term growth. In times of economic uncertainty, money market funds offer liquidity for cash reserves that can help you build your portfolio.

Money market funds make investments in short-term, comparatively safe securities that mature in about 13 months on average.

How can fund administrators help fund managers and investments during a recession?

To launch your funds during a recession, you need the ideal resources and assistance. A fund administrator is a crucial partner in charge of monitoring and assessing the financial performance of the fund.

A fund administrator digs deep into your finances and often seeks to improve fund management. They are accountable for developing a strategic investment plan that balances your risk appetite with your financial objectives, managing your reserves and ensuring that you consistently make the best financial decisions. In addition, fund administrators can help fund managers to diversify their portfolios during a recession by introducing various types of investments.

Partnering with Bolder Group

In times of recession, it is essential to have a trusted partner who can handle the situation better and provide solutions to survive an economic challenge. As an independent global organisation, Bolder Group’s fund industry experts offer specialised services to clients.

Ready to take the first step towards being recession-proof? Contact our team today or visit our office near you.

Surviving a recession: the best funds to invest in (2)
Surviving a recession: the best funds to invest in (2024)

FAQs

What is the best asset to hold during a recession? ›

Still, here are seven types of investments that could position your portfolio for resilience if recession is on your mind:
  • Defensive sector stocks and funds.
  • Dividend-paying large-cap stocks.
  • Government bonds and top-rated corporate bonds.
  • Treasury bonds.
  • Gold.
  • Real estate.
  • Cash and cash equivalents.
Nov 30, 2023

Where is the safest place to put your money during a recession? ›

Saving Accounts

Like checking accounts, they're federally insured and are generally the simplest and safest place to keep cash in good times and bad. Other advantages of savings accounts include: Simple to open and maintain. Deposits are fully insured.

What mutual funds are recession proof? ›

Options to consider include federal bond funds, municipal bond funds, taxable corporate funds, money market funds, dividend funds, utilities mutual funds, large-cap funds, and hedge funds.

What is the best stock to buy in a recession? ›

The best recession stocks include consumer staples, utilities and healthcare companies, all of which produce goods and services that consumers can't do without, no matter how bad the economy gets.

What not to invest in during a recession? ›

If you decide to make some changes to your investment strategy in response to economic concerns, there are ways to reduce your risk. Most stocks and high-yield bonds tend to lose value in a recession, while lower-risk assets—such as gold and U.S. Treasuries—tend to appreciate.

How to profit from a recession? ›

What businesses are profitable in a recession? Many investors turn to stocks in companies that sell consumer staples like health care, food and beverages, and personal hygiene products. These businesses typically remain profitable during recessions and their share prices tend to better resist stock market sell-offs.

Is it better to have cash or property in a recession? ›

Economic uncertainty: Typically, many people lose their jobs during a recession, and other conditions may cause people's finances to be less than stable as well. Liquidity can be important during a period of economic instability, and having your cash tied up in real estate may not be ideal.

What will be valuable if the economy collapses? ›

A physical asset that appreciates will always be valuable in a stock market crash. The most valuable assets in this situation include items like artwork, cars, jewelry, and other collectibles. Physical gold is another valuable asset that can be used as a safe haven in times of economic turmoil.

Should I take my money out of the bank before a recession? ›

Banking regulation has changed over the last 100 years to provide more protection to consumers. You can keep money in a bank account during a recession and it will be safe through FDIC and NCUA deposit insurance.

Which mutual fund is best in a recession? ›

Best funds to invest in during a recession

Small-cap funds can be a good option for aggressive investors with long-term time horizons. A risk-averse person can consider investing in a multi-asset mutual fund as it invests in various asset classes such as stocks, gold, debt, etc.

Is Vanguard safe from collapse? ›

First, the chances of Vanguard failing are miniscule. That said, let's talk about brokerage accounts for a minute. Brokerage accounts are not backed by the FDIC but by the Securities Investor Protection Corp (SIPC), which protects accounts up to $500,000.

Why are investors pulling money from Vanguard? ›

When the market cratered, investors withdrew $16.4 billion from Vanguard's index mutual funds. What accounts for remaining index mutual fund outflows? Johnson says it could be clients pulling out money because they're retiring, or because they're negatively affected by the pandemic.

What investments did well during the Great Depression? ›

The best performing investments during the Depression were government bonds (many corporations stopped paying interest on their bonds) and annuities.

How do I recession-proof my portfolio? ›

How to Recession-Proof Your Portfolio
  1. Diversification of Your Investments. You've heard the saying, don't put all your eggs in one basket. ...
  2. Invest in Real Estate. Buying up all the real estate during a recession might be tempting. ...
  3. Buy Shares in Defensive Sector Funds. ...
  4. Consider Precious Metals. ...
  5. Build An Emergency Fund.

What sectors thrive in a recession? ›

There are also fundamental services that consumers can't do without, even in hard times.
  • Accountants. ...
  • Healthcare Providers. ...
  • Financial Advisors and Economists. ...
  • Auto Repair and Maintenance. ...
  • Home Maintenance Stores. ...
  • Home Staging Experts. ...
  • Rental Agents and Property Management Companies. ...
  • Grocery Stores.

Who makes money during a recession? ›

Companies in the business of providing tools and materials for home improvement, maintenance, and repair projects are likely to see stable or even increasing demand during a recession. So do many appliance repair service people. New home builders, though, do not get in on the action.

Is cash king during a recession? ›

It will give them the funds to buy stocks or other assets during the decline. Because of how precious cash can be during times of financial stress, many have said that cash is king. The phrase means that having liquid funds available can be vital because of the flexibility it provides during a crisis.

Can you lose money in a savings account during a recession? ›

Your money is safe in a bank, even during an economic decline like a recession. Up to $250,000 per depositor, per account ownership category, is protected by the FDIC or NCUA at a federally insured financial institution. What happens if my bank fails during a recession?

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